Premium candles close red 45-49% of time; premium alone isn't reason to short automatically.

The average candle might have a 50-50 chance of closing red or green, right? Bullish or bearish. A random candle in the premium has about a 45-49% chance of closing red. That's like the baseline and the discount is the same, right? So you could see three green candles into the premium, just because when the premium, it doesn't mean that the next candle has to close red, right? So we're charging right up into the premium. Go look at the Bitcoin chart right now. It's one of the strongest green candles that potentially could be a bottom. And if you're just feeding it because we're in the premium, you might get run over. What we're looking for is reasons to be bearish in a premium, reasons to be bullish in a discount.